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Gate Research Institute: Polymarket Accelerates Growth, Gate Strategizes New Entry into Prediction Markets

Gate Research Institute released a market forecast report titled "Polymarket Growth Accelerates, Gate's Layout for New Entry into Prediction Markets," which dissects trading volume, fee mechanisms, and market structure. The report points out that Polymarket's trading volume and active users continue to grow, and the platform has evolved from early on-chain experiments into an event trading market with real liquidity and revenue capabilities. Overall growth is driven by political, sports, and geopolitical events, and user retention may decline during the phase when hot topics fade.Fees and revenues are rising rapidly, driven on one hand by expanding trading demand and on the other by the expansion of the fee scope and changes in the fee structure. Revenue growth is directly related to rule adjustments. Platform trading is highly concentrated in a few high-interest sectors, and the long-tail market contributes limited overall liquidity.Gate has integrated a Polymarket entry in the app, providing two interaction modes: prediction mode and trading mode. Users can participate using USDT through their exchange accounts or use USDC on Polygon via a Web3 wallet. The report believes that prediction markets are evolving along two parallel paths: the integration of on-chain open infrastructure and centralized products. Its long-term potential depends on the continuous stability of event supply, regulatory environment, and user behavior.

The conflict has pushed oil prices to rise continuously, and Gate's crude oil contract trading scale and liquidity are among the top in the industry

Due to the ongoing escalation of the US-Iran conflict and restrictions on transportation in the Strait of Hormuz, international oil prices continue to rise strongly, experiencing the longest consecutive increase since January. Data shows that Brent crude oil (XBRUSDT) on the Gate platform is priced at $99.78, an increase of about 2.31%; WTI crude oil (XTIUSDT) is priced at $96.62, an increase of about 2.22%. Against the backdrop of rising oil prices, the trading activity of related derivatives has also increased.According to Coinglass data, the 24-hour trading volume of WTI crude oil (XTIUSDT) on the Gate platform reached $20.08 million, with a position size of about $4.53 million, ranking first among all exchanges; the 24-hour trading volume of Brent crude oil (XBRUSDT) reached $10.92 million, with a position of about $3.81 million, also ranking first. Driven by high volatility, market participation continues to rise, further highlighting Gate's advantages in liquidity and trading depth in the energy derivatives sector.Gate Contracts has pioneered the commodity contract sector, covering perpetual contract trading for XBRUSDT (Brent crude oil), XTIUSDT (WTI crude oil), and NG (natural gas), providing 24/7 trading, USDT settlement, and up to 100x leverage, helping users with cross-market asset allocation and strategic layout in volatile markets.

Morgan Stanley launches a stablecoin reserve fund, positioning itself as a reserve manager for the stablecoin industry

Morgan Stanley's investment management division, MSIM, announced the launch of a stablecoin reserve portfolio fund (MSNXX), which is a government money market fund designed specifically for stablecoin issuers. It aims to provide a regulated and secure storage place for reserves held by issuers that back their tokenized fiat currency versions.The fund only invests in the safest and most liquid instruments, such as U.S. Treasury bills (short-term loans to the U.S. government) and repurchase agreements (overnight loans secured by similar government securities), both of which aim for capital preservation. The fund's target net asset value is $1, meaning that the invested capital retains the same value upon redemption, avoiding price fluctuations; at the same time, the fund offers daily liquidity, allowing investors to redeem funds on any trading day without a waiting period or penalties.Currently, the market capitalization of stablecoins has reached $316 billion, with tokens pegged to the U.S. dollar, such as Tether and USDC, holding the majority share. Morgan Stanley's launch of the fund coincides with the advancement of the GENIUS Act in Congress. If passed, this act would legally require stablecoin issuers to back their tokens with high-quality liquid assets such as Treasury bills and cash-like instruments, and they must be held through regulated instruments. Thus, the fund is positioned to take on reserve management business ahead of regulatory mandates.Additionally, Morgan Stanley Investment Management recently launched the Morgan Stanley Bitcoin Trust (MSBT), which is a cryptocurrency ETP that tracks Bitcoin, with custodial and fund management services provided by BNY Mellon. It has also collaborated with BNY Mellon to launch tokenized DAP class shares of an institutional liquidity fund Treasury securities portfolio, achieving blockchain-based mirror records while the official ledger remains retained by BNY Mellon.

Kalshi and Polymarket announce the launch of perpetual contract trading, as the prediction market platform accelerates its entry into the derivatives space

According to CoinDesk, the prediction market platform Kalshi is preparing to launch cryptocurrency trading in the United States, expanding beyond its core prediction market business. According to insiders, the platform plans to initially introduce perpetual contracts linked to cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin.This move will put Kalshi in more direct competition with cryptocurrency platforms like Coinbase. Coinbase currently does not offer true perpetual contracts in the U.S., but has launched "perpetual-like" futures contracts with long durations and has expressed intentions to introduce more advanced derivatives products within the U.S.Kalshi holds several licenses from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and has recently been approved to offer margin trading, positioning it to enter the derivatives market. Insiders say the company expects to start with cryptocurrency-linked perpetual contracts and may expand this model to other asset classes in the future.Kalshi's competitor Polymarket also announced on X plans to launch perpetual futures on its platform, but did not disclose further details. A video in the tweet shows that users will be allowed to trade leveraged long and short positions on assets like gold, NVIDIA, BTC, AAPL, and indicates that registration will provide early access.

first_img HK Web3 Feastival Roundtable: From the Ground Up to the Entry Point, the Path of Crypto Assets to Mainstream Finance

ChainCatcher reported live that Franklin Bi, partner at Pantera Capital, Mykolas Majauskas, senior policy director at Bybit, and Zeng Yuchao, managing director at Futu Group, jointly attended the HK Web3 Feastival roundtable to share "From the Ground Up to the Entry Point: The Path of Crypto Assets to Mainstream Finance."Zeng Yuchao introduced that Futu is the largest retail brokerage in Hong Kong, with a market share of over 50%. In January this year, it obtained the VATP license, and last month removed all additional conditions to achieve full integration of securities brokerage and crypto trading. Last year, Futu collaborated with Huaxia Fund to issue a tokenized money market fund, allowing T+0 same-day subscriptions and redemptions. In terms of AI, Futu has launched the Agent skill feature, enabling users to set strategies through natural language and execute trades automatically. He believes that in the future, there will be a transformation from graphical interfaces to AI interfaces.Mykolas Majauskas pointed out that companies currently complaining about regulation will miss this honeymoon period in the future, as larger-scale regulation is on the way. He analyzed global regulatory differences: Europe leads with MiCA, the U.S. supports private issuance, China supports government digital currency, and Hong Kong serves as a tokenization gateway. He warned that many native crypto companies claim to disrupt traditional finance but are actually being acquired by traditional institutions. He believes the fundamental change in AI is at the front end: users only need to express their intentions, and AI autonomously decides to execute strategies. Bybit is building a one-stop financial platform that integrates IBAN, cards, payments, and investments. He believes many traditional wealth management companies will be eliminated because they have historically made you feel wealthy rather than truly helping you accumulate wealth.Franklin Bi stated that blockchain is the perfect technology for building financial systems for AI Agents. When Agents choose between traditional accounts and stablecoins, they are opting for stablecoins, marking the beginning of an exponential trend.
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