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BTC $77,294.83 -1.51%
ETH $2,302.10 -2.60%
BNB $626.37 -1.33%
XRP $1.40 -2.10%
SOL $84.64 -2.28%
TRX $0.3253 +0.53%
DOGE $0.0985 -0.36%
ADA $0.2476 -1.73%
BCH $450.82 -0.71%
LINK $9.30 -1.63%
HYPE $41.69 -1.95%
AAVE $97.06 +0.75%
SUI $0.9314 -1.29%
XLM $0.1656 -2.96%
ZEC $351.60 -2.11%

alongside

Analysis shows that Bitcoin is strengthening alongside the US stock market, but the options market still bets on downside risks

Bitcoin rose to about $74,935 during the Asian session, up 0.7% in the last 24 hours and 5.4% for the week. However, the derivatives market is sending mixed signals. Institutional firm QCP Capital pointed out that this round of increase is mainly driven by spot trading, rather than a broad recovery in risk appetite.Currently, the funding rate for Bitcoin perpetual contracts remains negative, and open interest has decreased, indicating that short sellers are still increasing hedges rather than passively closing positions. The options market is also leaning towards caution: short-term implied volatility is sluggish, with one-month volatility lower than three-month volatility, and the risk reversal indicator shows that the market's demand for downside protection is higher than for upside bets, indicating that traders are more inclined to pay for potential declines rather than chase upward movements. QCP believes this is more of a "bounce" rather than a trend reversal.On a macro level, long-term U.S. Treasury yields and gold prices have not confirmed a recovery in risk appetite, with gold still near high levels, indicating that safe-haven demand remains. Institutions point out that the current market is more driven by expectations of a ceasefire and "emotional repair," rather than a core risk being alleviated. Additionally, Ethereum has shown relatively strong performance, with the ETH/BTC ratio rising to about 0.0315, combined with on-chain transaction volumes and stablecoin supply reaching all-time highs, indicating signs of capital rotating towards high β assets. However, the market still needs to observe the evolution of subsequent risk events to confirm the sustainability of this round of increase.

BlackRock regards Bitcoin as the most important investment theme of 2025, alongside U.S. Treasuries and the seven tech giants, as one of the three pillars of a modern diversified investment portfolio

According to financefeeds, BlackRock, the world's largest asset management company, has made a decisive statement, officially recognizing Bitcoin as the most important investment theme of 2025. This move solidifies the institutional narrative of the current market cycle.The head of the company's iShares division proposed a strategy at the meeting that positions Bitcoin alongside U.S. Treasuries and the "Tech Giants" stocks as the three pillars of a modern diversified investment portfolio. This recognition marks a significant evolution in BlackRock's stance—from initial tentative involvement to deeply integrating digital assets into its core macroeconomic worldview. Its core philosophy is no longer merely to "provide access" to speculative assets but to acknowledge Bitcoin as a fundamental component of the global monetary system's infrastructure.BlackRock's 2025 argument is built on the "macro mirror" thesis, which suggests that Bitcoin's performance increasingly reflects global concerns about sovereign debt and currency devaluation. As the U.S. federal deficit continues to widen and global fiscal imbalances worsen, BlackRock analysts believe institutional investors are seeking "non-correlated" assets that exist outside the traditional banking system.By positioning Bitcoin as "digital gold," BlackRock provides conservative asset allocators with the necessary theoretical framework to justify their large holdings. This shift is expected to culminate in 2026 with the launch of complex "yield-bearing" products, such as Bitcoin premium income ETFs designed to generate returns through covered call strategies.By offering these tools, BlackRock is shifting the market discussion from "why hold Bitcoin" to "how to optimize Bitcoin positions," thereby solidifying its role as a key gatekeeper of the next generation of digital capital.
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