insider

According to monitoring by Lookonchain, since the disclosure that the suspected APE insider trader is going long on LDO, LDO has risen over 20%.One associated wallet has closed its long position in LDO, making a profit of about $50,000; another wallet still holds 5.96 million LDO (approximately $2.65 million) in long positions, currently with an unrealized profit of about $250,000.

According to Lookonchain monitoring, a suspected insider trading address that previously made a profit of 2.27 million dollars in an APE trade is now going long on LDO.The address is using 2 wallets to go long on 5.57 million LDO (worth approximately 5.16 million dollars) with 5x leverage.

According to Onchain Lens monitoring, as APE's price surged over 110% in a short period, a suspected insider trader profited over $2.27 million by simultaneously taking long and short positions.On-chain data shows that this address initially deposited 75 ETH (approximately $174,000) as margin, opening both long and short positions on APE, and then purchased 1,027 ETH (approximately $2.37 million) on the HyperLiquid platform and completed the withdrawal. Additionally, they bought another 26 ETH on-chain, totaling 1,053 ETH purchased, ultimately realizing a profit of 978 ETH, equivalent to about $2.27 million. This operation has raised widespread suspicion of insider trading in the community due to its precise timing and abnormal returns.

Polymarket stated on platform X, "Last month, we released enhanced market integrity rules to combat insider trading. When we discover users trading on government confidential information, we refer the matter to the Department of Justice and cooperate with their investigation. Polymarket does not tolerate insider trading, and today's arrests prove that this system is effective."The arrest mentioned by Polymarket refers to the U.S. federal authorities arresting a special forces soldier this Thursday who was involved in the arrest of Venezuelan President Maduro. This soldier is suspected of profiting over $400,000 by betting on Maduro's ouster. Sources say federal investigators believe this commando placed over $33,000 in bets on the prediction market Polymarket just hours before President Trump announced the capture of Maduro in January.

According to Nikkei News, Japan has approved amendments to the Financial Instruments and Exchange Act (FIEA), classifying digital assets as financial instruments and prohibiting insider trading based on non-public information.

According to Theblock citing The Information, Polymarket has launched an audit targeting application startups that promise to help users track suspected insider trading activities.The report states that these copy trading applications provide customers with a list of traders on the Polymarket platform who have a good track record of profitability, or highlight some unusually large or oddly timed bets that may be based on confidential information. Customers can use bots to replicate these trades or receive notifications of seemingly good trades. These applications charge service fees.It is reported that Polymarket and its main competitor Kalshi have both been scrutinized for insider trading issues. Last month, Polymarket introduced clearer rules regarding insider trading and its enforcement.

According to Lookonchain monitoring, two wallets associated with BTC OG insider whales withdrew 59,000,000 Binance coins from Binance a month ago at a price of $0.074 each, worth approximately $4.38 million at that time. Currently, the total value of these 59,000,000 Binance coins has risen to $19.5 million, with unrealized gains exceeding $15 million.

Agent Garrett Jin from "1011 Insider Whale" pointed out in an analysis that the U.S. announcement to implement a maritime blockade in the Strait of Hormuz is one of the "most tactically wise" moves in the current conflict, but it is unlikely to achieve the goal of ending the war. This strategy has two short-term advantages: first, it directly weakens Iran's crude oil export revenue by about 1.7 million barrels per day; second, compared to occupying key facilities (such as Khark Island), the cost of a maritime blockade is lower and the risks are more controllable.However, the effectiveness of this strategy faces multiple challenges. For example, the current blockade mainly targets Iranian ports rather than completely closing the strait, and third-party transshipment routes still exist. Additionally, it undermines the U.S.'s long-term international image of maintaining "freedom of navigation," which could have far-reaching effects on global maritime order.Garrett Jin concluded that while the blockade measures may reshape the initiative in the short term, they are unlikely to force Iran to make concessions and may instead compress diplomatic space and prolong the conflict cycle. The market has accounted for the impact of the blockade itself, but has not fully priced in the potential paths for escalation that may follow.

As Robinhood accelerates its layout in the prediction market, it has proactively excluded certain contract products due to concerns that they may foster market manipulation and insider trading risks. Robinhood UK President Jordan Sinclair stated that the company is highly attentive to market abuse issues and will not offer all prediction markets or event contracts to users, but will selectively launch products that are more suitable for customers.Recently, several "precise betting" incidents have raised regulatory concerns. For example, there were unusually large bets placed on Polymarket before U.S. actions against Iran; Israeli regulators have also sued two individuals who used confidential information to place bets. Additionally, "mention markets" (such as words that will appear in a speech being bet on) have been explicitly excluded from Robinhood's product range due to their susceptibility to manipulation.Currently, Robinhood primarily provides compliant prediction market services through partnerships with Kalshi and ForecastEx, prioritizing regulated platforms to reduce information abuse and cross-border compliance risks. In contrast, the less regulated Polymarket allows users to trade through cryptocurrency wallets with relatively loose identity verification.Robinhood previously anticipated that prediction markets would become an important growth engine, with CEO Vlad Tenev stating that this business could become one of the fastest-growing segments by 2025, potentially driving the formation of a trillion-dollar annual trading scale in the future.

According to the WSJ, just hours after President Trump suddenly announced a suspension of attacks on Iran last month, the White House warned staff not to abuse their power to place bets in prediction markets at the right moment. According to informed sources, the Office of Management and Budget issued this warning on March 23.Earlier that day, Trump announced the decision to suspend airstrikes via Truth Social. About 15 minutes before the sudden policy shift, there was a wave of mysterious trading activity in the futures market, with Dow Jones market data showing that contracts worth over $760 million in oil futures changed hands in less than two minutes.Recently, three accounts on the Polymarket platform profited over $600,000 by accurately predicting the timing of this week's ceasefire in Iran. Critics of Trump, including many Democrats, immediately inferred that someone had profited from having advance knowledge of the policy shift.The White House confirmed the authenticity of this warning, with Trump's spokesperson Engel stating, "The only special interest that can guide President Trump's decision-making is the best interest of the American people."

According to Polybeats statistics, at least 11 addresses profited from the "US-Iran Ceasefire" prediction market on Polymarket through their predictions. The address with the highest profit, 0xffa6b3...30fe, made approximately $405,000, while 0xa4eb52...d010 profited around $339,000.The total profit for all addresses reached $1,913,292.47. These trades were concentrated in several ceasefire deadline markets expiring from March to April. Some early bets on the March ceasefire positions initially incurred losses, but as the expectations for the ceasefire materialized in early April, later positions saw significant profits.

According to informed sources, the final proposal for the US-Iran ceasefire agreement includes Iran abandoning nuclear weapons in exchange for the lifting of sanctions and the unfreezing of assets. A plan to end hostilities in the Middle East needs to be agreed upon by Monday. If an agreement is reached, the plan will facilitate an immediate ceasefire, the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, and the achievement of a final agreement within 15 to 20 days. The Chief of Army Staff of Pakistan has had phone calls with US Vice President Vance, Special Envoy Witkoff, and Iranian Foreign Minister Zarif. Iran and the US have received a plan to end hostilities, which consists of a two-tier agreement: first achieving a ceasefire, and then reaching a final agreement.

According to Bloomberg, David Miller, the enforcement director of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), stated at a seminar at New York University on Tuesday that the agency will use its existing enforcement authority to combat insider trading in prediction markets.David Miller pointed out that there is a misunderstanding in mainstream media and social media that laws related to insider trading do not apply to prediction markets, and he clearly stated that this view is incorrect.

Insiders revealed on Tuesday that SpaceX is collaborating with at least 21 banks to prepare for its blockbuster IPO, one of the largest underwriting groups in recent years. This IPO is internally codenamed "Apex," expected to take place in June, with a valuation reaching $1.75 trillion, poised to become one of the most anticipated stock market debuts on Wall Street. Insiders stated that Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, and Citigroup are serving as active bookrunners, meaning they are the lead banks managing this transaction.They added that another 16 banks have signed on to take smaller roles. About half of these banks had not been previously reported. The size of the underwriting group highlights the scale and complexity of the proposed issuance plan.

According to CNN, citing multiple sources, federal prosecutors in Manhattan, New York, are investigating whether some high-yield bets in prediction markets violate insider trading and other laws.According to insiders, the head of the Securities and Commodities Fraud Unit of the U.S. Attorney's Office for the Southern District of New York recently met with representatives from Polymarket to discuss how existing laws might apply to potential misconduct in this rapidly evolving industry. The U.S. Department of Justice is focusing on those high-profile high-yield bets, marking an escalation in regulatory scrutiny of the industry. Over the past year, the prediction market industry has rapidly expanded with relatively limited federal oversight.

California Governor Gavin Newsom signed an executive order prohibiting government-appointed officials from using non-public information obtained during their duties to engage in insider trading for profit in prediction markets, and expanded the ban to include their spouses, family members, and former business partners. The executive order specifies that public officials appointed by the governor may not use "confidential or non-public information" to bet on political or economic events related to their duties. Newsom stated that public service should not become a tool for profit and emphasized the need to draw a clear line between power and interests.

According to the Wall Street Journal, sources say that the SpaceX IPO is expected to raise between $40 billion and $80 billion. SpaceX is considering offering preferential treatment to investors from other companies owned by Musk in the stock allocation.Previous news from ChainCatcher indicates that the SpaceX IPO may reserve up to 30% of the shares for retail investors.

Sources say that SpaceX's IPO may reserve up to 30% of shares for retail investors.