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According to Gate market data, U.S. stocks closed on Monday with the Dow Jones Industrial Average initially down 0.1%, the S&P 500 index up 0.1%, and the Nasdaq up 0.2%. Nvidia (NVDA.O) rose 4% and reached a record high, closing with a market value of $5.2 trillion. SanDisk (SNDK.O) rose 8%, while Arm (ARM.O) fell 8%. The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index closed down 1.1%, with Alibaba (BABA.N) down 2.4%.

Research institution Bernstein's latest report states that as Bitcoin approaches the $80,000 mark, the cryptocurrency market is entering a new phase of structural growth. This cycle may last longer than previous ones and has "asymmetric upside potential." The report points out that the previous drop to $60,000 has formed a temporary bottom, and the market is being driven by the integration of institutional funds and the traditional financial system.Analyst Gautam Chhugani stated, "The best times for the crypto industry are still ahead, which will be reflected in a higher and more sustained bull market cycle." In terms of supply structure, about 60% of Bitcoin has not been transferred for over a year, indicating an increase in the proportion of long-term holders; at the same time, ETFs and corporate balance sheet allocations continue to absorb supply. Strategy currently holds approximately 818,000 BTC, and its yield-generating products are attracting more traditional funds.On the institutional channel front, Morgan Stanley and Charles Schwab are expanding Bitcoin ETF and spot trading access, further lowering investment thresholds. Fundamentally, the supply of stablecoins has surpassed $300 billion, and the demand for real payments and settlements has increased; the tokenization scale of real-world assets (RWA) has reached $345 billion, a year-on-year increase of 110%. Additionally, platforms like Hyperliquid are driving increased activity in on-chain stock and commodity trading.The report also warns that quantum computing poses a long-term potential risk to crypto security, but it is manageable in the short term, and the industry has ample time to transition to quantum-resistant standards.

According to CoinDesk, Fidelity Digital Assets released the "Q2 2026 Signal Report," indicating that although the overall cryptocurrency market was in a consolidation phase at the beginning of the second quarter, several underlying data points have shown signs of stabilization.The report shows that Bitcoin's dominance continues to rise, with capital consistently concentrating on the most liquid assets. The levels of unrealized profits and momentum indicators are consistent with characteristics of a correction period, which may lay the foundation for a more stable market structure in the future.Meanwhile, the network usage and price trends of Ethereum and Solana have diverged, indicating that demand at the protocol layer remains robust. The report also notes that Bitcoin futures are currently experiencing negative funding rates, and research institution 10x believes this reflects structural hedging behavior by institutions rather than an overall bearish signal.

According to The Block, analysts at research firm Bernstein stated in their latest report that the fundamentals of the crypto market are continuously improving. The recent low of $60,000 for Bitcoin has formed a clear bottom, and the current price is approaching $80,000. Driven by institutional demand, a longer structural bull market is expected.Bernstein analyst Gautam Chhugani pointed out the following core driving factors:Institutional channels continue to expand: Morgan Stanley's Bitcoin ETF and Charles Schwab's spot Bitcoin/Ethereum trading platform have been launched one after another, with about 60% of Bitcoin supply not having moved for over a year, indicating a stable holder structure;Strategy continues to increase holdings: its STRC perpetual preferred stock product attracts income-focused investors, with current holdings reaching 818,334 Bitcoins;Demand for stablecoins reaches an all-time high: stablecoin supply has surpassed $30 billion, decoupling from the price cycle of the crypto market, showing that real payment and settlement demand continues to grow;Tokenization of real assets accelerates expansion: the scale of tokenized assets such as private credit and government bonds has reached $345 billion, a year-on-year increase of 110%.Bernstein also noted that quantum computing poses a long-term potential risk, but the blockchain ecosystem is expected to have ample time to complete the post-quantum security transition.

According to The Wall Street Journal, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has filed a lawsuit against the state of New York in the federal district court for the Southern District of New York, seeking a court ruling that the CFTC has exclusive regulatory authority over prediction markets to prevent New York's crackdown.Previously, New York state had filed lawsuits against the prediction market operations of cryptocurrency exchanges Coinbase and Gemini. Earlier this month, the CFTC also filed lawsuits on similar issues against Arizona, Illinois, and Connecticut, as the jurisdictional disputes between federal and state regulatory agencies continue to escalate.

As market sentiment warms and liquidity returns, AI technology is accelerating its leap from a mere "analytical tool" to a core "trading hub," deeply reconstructing the underlying logic of the financial market's game.At 8 PM on April 28, a cutting-edge roundtable discussion focusing on "AI Trading" will be held in Space. At that time, several industry experts will engage in in-depth discussions from the perspectives of AI infrastructure evolution, trading structure reshaping, and financial paradigm shifts, jointly analyzing whether AI's deep integration into the trading process is becoming the true starting point driving a new cycle of evolution in Web3, guiding participants to accurately capture real Alpha opportunities with long-term value in a market landscape full of uncertainties.Users are encouraged to follow the official accounts @sunpumpmeme and @Agent_SunGenX, retweet the post, and @ three friends. The official account will randomly select 5 lucky users from the participants to receive a reward of 10 USDT each.

Recently, Gate predicts that the market expectations for Ethereum's price performance on April 27 are highly consistent. Data shows that the current probability of "ETH being above $1800" and various ranges such as "$1900/$2000/$2100" all reach 100%, while the probability of being above $2200 also reaches 99%, indicating a significantly bullish market sentiment. In contrast, the probability for $2300 is about 72%, while the probability for above $2400 drops sharply to 7%, reflecting a divergence in short-term upward expectations.Users can directly access the prediction market through the Gate App, entering the Polymarket page from the platform's homepage Alpha, and participate in event predictions using USDT in their exchange accounts. This integration marks a key step for Gate in merging the crypto trading ecosystem with prediction markets, providing users with a diversified market experience from expectation judgment to trading participation.It is worth noting that Gate's performance in the Polymarket partnership channel continues to improve, currently ranking in the top two, with a significant expansion in user participation scale. The cumulative trading volume has reached $24.87 million, with a total of 206,055 transactions, reflecting the increasing activity and depth of participation of platform users in the prediction market.

According to Gate market data, the three major U.S. stock indices showed mixed results before the market opened, with the Nasdaq up 0.1%, the Dow down 0.18%, and the S&P 500 down 0.05%.The seven major tech stocks showed mixed results before the market opened, with Apple (AAPL) down 1.35%, Microsoft (MSFT) down 0.08%, Alphabet (GOOGL) up 0.44%, Amazon (AMZN) up 0.25%, Nvidia (NVDA) up 0.88%, Tesla (TSLA) down 0.22%, and Meta (META) down 0.1%.

QCP Group analysis indicates that the negotiations between the U.S. and Iran have once again broken down, the ceasefire in the Middle East continues, and the overall geopolitical landscape remains static. A shooting incident occurred at the White House Correspondents' Dinner, with Trump suspected to be the target. After the Asian market opened, BTC briefly surpassed $79,000 and ETH broke through $2,400, but concerns arose following news of the Iranian foreign minister's visit to Russia for talks with Putin, leading to a rapid pullback in gains.The current key resistance level in the market is the CME gap around $82,000. The funding rate for BTC perpetual contracts continues to be negative, and if the price breaks upward, it may trigger short covering. Implied volatility continues to decline, and the risk reversal skew has narrowed, with market interest in upward exposure gradually increasing. Key focus this week: April 29 earnings reports from Microsoft, Amazon, Meta, and Google, as well as the FOMC interest rate decision; April 30 earnings report from Apple, U.S. Q1 GDP, and March PCE data.

According to GMGN monitoring, the Meme coin ASTEROID on the Solana chain surged by 30% within 1 hour, reaching a market capitalization of 7 million USD, with a 24-hour increase of 160% and a trading volume of 5.2 million USD during the same period. This token has been online for 10 days, and this morning it briefly rose above 9 million USD.In addition, the same narrative Meme coin ASTEROID on the Ethereum chain maintains a high market capitalization, currently reported at 129 million USD, with a 24-hour decrease of 13.3% and a trading volume of 19 million USD during the same period.ChainCatcher reminds users that Meme coin trading is highly volatile, largely relying on market sentiment and speculative concepts, and has no actual value or use case. Investors should be aware of the risks.

According to Jinshi reports, Danske Bank analyst Asger Wilhelm Dalsjo stated in a report that as the Middle East conflict enters its ninth week, central banks will assess its current impact and future expectations. This week, the Bank of Japan, the Bank of Canada, the Federal Reserve, the Bank of England, and the European Central Bank will hold policy meetings. The analyst said, "This week, monetary policy decisions will become the main driving force for the market." It is expected that the aforementioned five central banks will keep interest rates unchanged, but their assessments of the economic impact of the Middle East conflict will be closely monitored.

According to Jinshi reports, U.S. Treasury yields rose during the Asian trading session, and the lack of relief in the Middle East situation kept oil prices high. This week's intensive central bank meeting schedule has become the market focus, including the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting. The market generally expects that the Federal Reserve will maintain the federal funds rate target range at 3.5% to 3.75% for the third consecutive meeting. According to Tradeweb data, the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield rose by 2.3 basis points to 3.798%, and the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield increased by 1.4 basis points to 4.323%.

CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju posted on the X platform that the current rise in Bitcoin is mainly driven by demand in the futures market. The open interest has increased, but despite the inflow of ETF funds and purchases from Strategy, the on-chain apparent demand remains net negative. Historically, the bear market only ends when both spot demand and futures demand recover.

According to Cointelegraph, a survey of 1,100 active users of CEX.IO in the U.S. shows that the current downturn in the crypto market has forced 36% of American crypto traders to reduce their daily expenses. Among them, 10% stated that this is a significant sacrifice made to maintain their positions, and 37% of respondents have postponed or canceled major purchasing plans due to crypto losses.Additionally, 38% of traders reported experiencing some form of financial disruption since October 2025. A quarter of respondents indicated that they rely on savings to maintain financial stability, and 12% admitted to having missed or delayed payments.Despite the pressure, the majority of traders remain optimistic, with 79% of respondents planning to hold or increase their positions in the next six months.

According to Theblock, a new academic paper concluded that after analyzing all transactions on Polymarket from 2023 to 2025, only 3.14% of accounts were defined as "skilled winners," who were able to consistently and accurately predict short-term price trends and final outcomes. These skilled traders, along with market makers, contributed to over 30% of the platform's total revenue.The paper also pointed out that only 12% of winners belonged to the high-level trader group, while about 60% of "lucky winners" turned into losers in another data sample test. Accounts classified as unlucky or technically poor accounted for 67% of the total, bearing all of the platform's total losses.The paper was co-authored by Roberto Gómez-Cram, Yunhan Guo, Howard Kung from the London Business School, and Theis Ingerslev Jensen from Yale University, covering 1.72 million accounts and over 210,000 markets, with a total trading volume of approximately $13.76 billion.

The market data platform Polysights posted on platform X, analyzing over 20,000 Polymarket markets in the past 6 months and providing a volatility ranking. The main findings are as follows:Cryptocurrency-related markets occupy four of the top ten, exhibiting a high degree of information asymmetry, with few able to predict accurately.There is a phenomenon of deadline anxiety, with questions like "Will X happen before [date]?" generating more volatility than "Who will win?"Market outcomes tend to favor "yes"—in markets over $1 million, the probability of a "yes" outcome is 50%, while the overall probability is only 27%; when markets experience significant volatility, the final outcomes are mostly "yes."Medium-sized markets ($1 million to $7 million) are chaotic; markets over $10 million tend to have smoother price trends due to large capital involvement.