opportunity

Liquid Capital founder Jack Yi stated on the X platform: "In the past, the wave of crypto VC and project disappearances had a core reason, which is that the financing funds were mostly consumed on: maintaining teams to develop useless web3 products. The biggest misconception is benchmarking against web2 products. Essentially, web3 is a financial industry and does not need to replicate web2 products. The most successful companies in the past crypto industry have all been financial products, from stablecoins and exchanges to successful companies in payments.Now that the AI era has arrived, first, there is no need for large financing to recruit teams, and second, AI + finance presents new opportunities. We believe that excellent founders with a few elites can achieve top-tier companies, which is currently the biggest opportunity in primary investment."

Liquid Capital (formerly LD Capital) founder Yi Lihua stated that recently the focus has been on rebounds rather than reversals, so the key is where the rebound will go. It was originally expected to reach $85,000, but no one can pinpoint it accurately. The important thing is to take profits based on one's own expectations and risk control.From a trading and cyclical perspective, there may still be one major correction, which would be an excellent final buying opportunity. Currently, the triggering factors may be the pullback of U.S. stocks from historical highs, the decline of risk assets, and the uncontrollable oil prices. Terrifying inflation data could lead the Federal Reserve to abandon interest rate cuts and even consider raising rates. The outlook for investment is optimistic in the medium to long term, while managing risks in the short term.

According to The Block, Circle CEO Jeremy Allaire stated in an interview with Reuters that there is a "huge opportunity" for the renminbi stablecoin. If Chinese authorities wish to enhance the global competitiveness of the renminbi, stablecoins will become an important technical means for currency internationalization, and he predicts that China may launch a renminbi stablecoin in the next 3 to 5 years.It is worth noting that the People's Bank of China and multiple departments have clearly prohibited the issuance of renminbi stablecoins abroad without regulatory approval as of February 2026. Meanwhile, the regulatory attitude in Hong Kong is completely opposite; the Hong Kong Monetary Authority issued the first batch of stablecoin licenses to HSBC and Anchorpoint Financial (a joint venture of Standard Chartered Bank, Animoca Brands, and Hong Kong Telecom) last week.

Liquid Capital (formerly LD Capital) founder Yi Lihua stated that peace negotiations typically move from disagreement to consensus. The motivation for continued warfare among all parties is weakening under the current circumstances, and the conflict may gradually come to an end. "We still insist that the war will end; neither side has any reason to continue fighting. Waiting for a rebound without taking profits, the moment an agreement is reached will be a bullish signal."He pointed out that, from a medium to long-term perspective, the market is generally waiting for a potential large-scale financial crisis. There are signs of defensive positioning on the funding side, such as large capital holding a high proportion of cash and sovereign entities increasing their gold holdings. In this context, if a crisis occurs again, it will be a key moment to test whether Bitcoin possesses the attributes of a safe-haven asset, and it may also present significant opportunities for low-position allocations.In addition, Yi Lihua believes that AI technology is bringing a new round of opportunities for outstanding entrepreneurs. A small number of teams can create global products, reducing financing and organizational management costs. Especially experienced serial entrepreneurs should seize this "AI Age of Exploration."

Crypto analyst Ali published a lengthy analysis on the X platform, pointing out that rather than debating whether Bitcoin has bottomed out, it is better to focus on whether the current volatility constitutes a "generational entry opportunity." Based on indicators such as long-term trend lines, on-chain liquidity, and cost distribution, the core "value range" of this cycle is defined.In terms of support, the UTXO Realized Price Distribution (URPD) shows that there is a significant concentration of chips in the range of approximately $63,111 to $70,685, forming the current main support zone; if it falls below $63,111, the market may enter a liquidity vacuum. From a long-term trend perspective, Bitcoin is approaching the key upward trend line of the past decade (approximately $56,000 to $60,000), which historically has often corresponded to accumulation phases before major upward movements.

Former Google quantum hardware chief and 2025 Nobel Prize in Physics winner John Martinis warned that Bitcoin could become one of the first real targets for quantum computing attacks. He stated that recent research from Google shows that advanced quantum computers could derive Bitcoin private keys in a matter of minutes, significantly lowering the computational security barriers that the network currently relies on.Since Bitcoin relies on elliptic curve cryptography and the network upgrades slowly and is decentralized, this makes the quantum threat harder to address than in traditional financial systems. The public key exposure window when broadcasting Bitcoin transactions could be exploited by quantum computers to intercept funds before the transaction is finally confirmed. John Martinis emphasized that while building such quantum computers remains an extremely challenging engineering task, the community should not be complacent and should plan for quantum-resistant upgrades as soon as possible, anticipating that related threats will gradually emerge within 5 to 10 years.

Liquid Capital (formerly LD Capital) founder Yi Lihua stated: "In the short term, the war will not end, and the market is waiting for further clarity on the war. However, there will definitely be a great bottom-fishing opportunity this year, so prepare as much capital as possible before that. Aside from the crypto industry, I have been working hard to learn AI recently and have been deeply shocked, especially by the efficiency of commanding AI to work. This is not just a simple improvement in efficiency; it is a direct leap from the era of horse-drawn carriages to the era of airplanes.I require all companies I invest in to immediately learn to use A and embrace AI. In the future, companies that do not use AI will be eliminated. Today, because of AI, all companies and individuals are basically starting from the same starting line. Another great wave is coming, and my requirement for myself this year is to spend half of my time working in collaboration with AI."

According to Cointelegraph, Nic Carter, founding partner of Castle Island Ventures, stated that Bitcoin's lag in quantum resistance could become a bullish reason for Ethereum.Carter mentioned that elliptic curve cryptography is nearing obsolescence, and blockchain developers need to accept the necessity of variable cryptography. He pointed out that Bitcoin developers are "turning a blind eye" to the quantum resistance issue, while Ethereum developers have made it a "top strategic priority" and have developed a detailed anti-quantum roadmap. Carter believes that unless Bitcoin changes rapidly, the ETH/BTC ratio will begin to reflect this difference in priorities. Previously, ARK Invest reported that about one-third of Bitcoin faces quantum threats, but this is considered a long-term risk. Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin proposed a quantum resistance roadmap in February. A co-author of BIP-360 responded that core contributors have been involved in the proposal. Carter criticized Bitcoin core developers for "denying, misleading, and rejecting community feedback," while Bitcoin developers stated that the proposal has received the most comments in history.

Pump.fun co-founder alon disclosed on platform X that the platform has updated its fee mechanism to address malicious manipulation issues in token issuance. Previously, each token issued on pump.fun had an associated Coin Admin who could arbitrarily change the fee recipient and distribution method, leading to manipulative behavior: creators would first set fees directed to others, and once the token gained popularity, they would redirect the fees back to their own wallets, harming user interests.After the update, all tokens will default to the regular creator fee (except for rebate tokens), and creators will have only one opportunity to redirect the fees to another wallet; thereafter, the fee settings will be locked. If creators do not use this opportunity, they can operate it later when needed. The fees of tokens with already allocated fees will be locked, and existing regular fee tokens will have one chance to change.

According to Cointelegraph, the Bitcoin-to-gold ratio shows signs of bullish divergence. MN Capital founder Michaël van de Poppe pointed out that the daily RSI is diverging from the price, indicating a weakening of selling pressure. In February of this year, the ratio fell back to the key support level of 12-13, which was a resistance in 2017 and has turned into support in 2022 and 2023, potentially becoming a reference for the long-term bottom trend of Bitcoin.Meanwhile, Bitcoin ETFs saw a net inflow of approximately $906 million over the past month, while the SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) ETF experienced a $3 billion single-day outflow on March 6, creating a significant divergence.Binance Research noted that the current macro volatility has created "opportunities in risk" for Bitcoin. The conflict between the U.S. and Iran is driving market fluctuations, but capital is gradually flowing back into BTC. Although the trading volume of U.S. spot ETFs accounts for only about 9% of the total Bitcoin trading volume, which is still below the 30-40% level of the U.S. stock market ETFs, it shows that there is still significant room for institutional entry. Historical data indicates that both Bitcoin and U.S. stocks often experience strong rebounds after geopolitical turmoil.

Liquid Capital founder Yi Lihua stated: "The speed of AI development and the anxiety surrounding it are terrifying. We must not forget our original intention and return to the crypto industry. First, any ETH below $2000 is a buying opportunity, with a high win rate for both short-term and long-term. Secondly, according to cycle theory, this year is also a great bottom opportunity, suitable for us to prepare new funds and platforms.Finally, looking at the track opportunities, with the speed of AI evolution, we have entrepreneurial opportunities for AI to transform and reconstruct the crypto industry. I believe there will be waves of AI innovators disrupting the current dragons. The industry hasn't seen a change in pattern for a long time, and the AI payment value of stablecoins is beginning to show. The biggest risk in the primary market is the team, which cannot be addressed through data analysis and trend research."

Aave founder Stani.eth posted on the X platform, stating, "The private credit market is facing pressure in a high-interest-rate environment. Since the Federal Reserve began its rate hike cycle in 2022, interest rates have rapidly risen above 5% and remained high, leading to a significant increase in capital costs for borrowing businesses and consumers.Recent data shows that several funds have experienced stock price declines and redemption pressures, such as Blue Owl Capital, which has dropped about 50% over the past year, and Blackstone's BCRED, which is facing approximately $3.7 billion in redemption requests in Q1 2026. The average BDC is trading at about a 20% discount, with yields of 10-11%, and some funds have seen default rates rise to 9%.Stani.eth proposed three risk scenarios: a single fund default can be absorbed by the system, multiple fund defaults may trigger a downturn in the credit cycle, and a complete collapse could lead to systemic risk. However, the overall private credit market has a total size of about $1.8-2 trillion, making a single fund default unlikely to cause a systemic crisis.For DeFi investors, the biggest risk is that many retail users do not understand the risks involved before putting funds into high-yield RWA. I believe RWA is the biggest opportunity for DeFi in the near term. However, my biggest concern is that institutional speculators may view DeFi as a channel to offload illiquid and distressed products that Wall Street has lost confidence in, effectively using DeFi participants as an exit liquidity.However, well-functioning on-chain private credit can provide advantages that traditional finance cannot reach. DeFi can enforce redemption windows, withdrawal limits, collateral ratios, and profit distribution rules through smart contracts, achieving transparent and immutable execution, avoiding arbitrary tightening of redemption policies by traditional fund managers. Through carefully structured RWA projects, transparent and secure investment channels can be provided between traditional finance and on-chain markets. DeFi should not become a source of exit liquidity for Wall Street."

According to The Block, K33 pointed out in its latest analysis report that Bitcoin has entered the most extreme weekly oversold range in history after experiencing several months of selling pressure. This selling pressure primarily came from long-term holders and institutional investors, but recently, these selling pressures have begun to ease, and the market is showing signs of temporary stability.K33 noted that historical data shows that after similar extreme bearish cycles, Bitcoin often experiences a phase of rebound. The bottom formation phase still requires time, but extreme overselling, derivative deleveraging, and the recovery of long-term supply all point to a potential phase of rebound.However, the options market shows strong bearish sentiment, with investors paying high premiums for downside protection. The negative funding rates indicate that there is still ongoing demand for deleveraging among bulls or for establishing short positions.

According to Cointelegraph, Robinhood's head of cryptocurrency, Johann Kerbrat, recently stated that amid the ongoing market downturn, crypto investors are gradually turning their attention to assets beyond Bitcoin and Ethereum. He noted that many investors view the current market as a "buying opportunity" and are beginning to explore more options outside the top two or three cryptocurrencies.At the same time, Kerbrat revealed that cryptocurrency holders on the Robinhood platform are not just holding tokens but are actively exploring use cases such as staking and DeFi, which continue to show strong appeal amid market uncertainty.However, the Altcoin Season Index data shows that the market still primarily favors Bitcoin, with a Bitcoin season score of 33/100. Additionally, the U.S. Bitcoin spot ETF has seen net outflows for five consecutive weeks, totaling approximately $3.8 billion, reflecting that market sentiment has remained in a state of "extreme fear" since early February.