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rns

Bitcoin ETF ends nine consecutive days of net inflow, market turns cautious ahead of the Federal Reserve FOMC meeting

Bitcoin fell below $77,000, with the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF recording a net outflow of $263.2 million, ending a nine-day streak of net inflows. This coincided with the eve of this week's Federal Reserve FOMC meeting, adding a touch of caution to the already resilient April rebound.Bitcoin declined today, but it has still risen about 15% over the past month, reaching a high of $79,000 in April. The interruption of ETF fund momentum is significant because it occurs just before a week of major macroeconomic events. The market is currently digesting the Federal Reserve's decisions, new inflation concerns, GDP data, a series of earnings reports from major tech companies, and another round of interest rate decisions from central banks in Europe and Asia.Timothy Misir, head of research at BRN, stated that the crypto market entered this week with inspiring momentum, but there are too many cross factors to determine a clean risk appetite trend. In his view, investors are showing signs of "war fatigue" regarding the situation in the Middle East, while central banks are forced to find a balance between supply-driven inflation and weakening confidence along with mixed data.Glassnode expressed a similar view in its latest weekly pulse report. Analysts noted that Bitcoin still exhibits a "mix of bullish momentum, cautious sentiment, and consolidation," with strong buying pressure offset by weaker speculative participation and lower trading activity.QCP Capital stated that Bitcoin had a significant rebound in April, maintaining an overall constructive pattern. However, the firm believes that $82,000 remains a key level, with the nearby CME gap constituting the next real test.Andy Baehr, managing director at GSR Asset Management, mentioned that prices are "gradually rising," and $80,000 remains a key psychological level.

Bernstein: The structural strengthening of the cryptocurrency market suggests that Bitcoin is likely to enter a longer-term bull market

According to The Block, analysts at research firm Bernstein stated in their latest report that the fundamentals of the crypto market are continuously improving. The recent low of $60,000 for Bitcoin has formed a clear bottom, and the current price is approaching $80,000. Driven by institutional demand, a longer structural bull market is expected.Bernstein analyst Gautam Chhugani pointed out the following core driving factors:Institutional channels continue to expand: Morgan Stanley's Bitcoin ETF and Charles Schwab's spot Bitcoin/Ethereum trading platform have been launched one after another, with about 60% of Bitcoin supply not having moved for over a year, indicating a stable holder structure;Strategy continues to increase holdings: its STRC perpetual preferred stock product attracts income-focused investors, with current holdings reaching 818,334 Bitcoins;Demand for stablecoins reaches an all-time high: stablecoin supply has surpassed $30 billion, decoupling from the price cycle of the crypto market, showing that real payment and settlement demand continues to grow;Tokenization of real assets accelerates expansion: the scale of tokenized assets such as private credit and government bonds has reached $345 billion, a year-on-year increase of 110%.Bernstein also noted that quantum computing poses a long-term potential risk, but the blockchain ecosystem is expected to have ample time to complete the post-quantum security transition.
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