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BTC $77,205.62 -2.22%
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XRP $1.40 -3.10%
SOL $84.50 -3.54%
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DOGE $0.0992 -0.67%
ADA $0.2477 -2.66%
BCH $449.55 -1.43%
LINK $9.31 -2.18%
HYPE $41.63 -2.49%
AAVE $97.26 -0.59%
SUI $0.9336 -2.17%
XLM $0.1654 -3.75%
ZEC $352.83 -1.75%

tom

Charles Schwab opens BTC/ETH spot trading to 39 million customers, Alcoa enters deep negotiations with NYDIG regarding the sale of its New York smelting plant

According to BBX data, the bidirectional penetration of traditional financial institutions and industrial infrastructure into the crypto space has accelerated over the weekend, with the following core dynamics:The Charles Schwab Corporation (NYSE: $SCHW) officially launched the Schwab Crypto platform in phases on April 17, opening direct trading of Bitcoin and Ethereum spot to 39 million active brokerage account customers through its Charles Schwab Premier Bank, SSB, with compliance custody and trade execution provided by Paxos, and a fee of 75 basis points per transaction; initially excluding New York and Louisiana. The company recorded earnings per share of $1.43 and revenue of $6.48 billion in Q1 2026, with total customer assets of approximately $12.22 trillion as of early 2026.Alcoa Corporation (NYSE: $AA) CEO Bill Oplinger confirmed in a Bloomberg interview on April 17 that the company is in deep negotiations with Bitcoin financial services company NYDIG regarding the sale of the Massena East smelter site in New York (1,300 acres, closed since 2014), which "should be completed by mid-year." The site is adjacent to the St. Lawrence River and can access hydroelectric resources provided by the New York Power Authority; NYDIG has been operating Bitcoin mining facilities there since 2024 and will gain full control of the infrastructure after the acquisition. The financial terms of the transaction have not been disclosed.

The Bitcoin RHODL ratio has risen to the third highest level in history, which may indicate that the Bitcoin bottom has formed

According to CoinDesk, Glassnode's Bitcoin on-chain metric RHODL ratio is currently at 4.5, which is the third highest level on record, and the signals it emits are more aligned with a market bottom rather than a cycle top.The RHODL ratio compares the value of Bitcoin held by long-term holders (holding for 6 months to 3 years) to that held by short-term holders (holding for 1 day to 3 months). An increase in the ratio typically reflects a longer holding period for chips and reduced speculative activity, rather than an influx of new buyers—this dynamic has occurred after significant corrections in 2015, 2019, and 2022. During the 50% drop in Bitcoin over the past six months, young speculative chips have been largely washed out, concentrating wealth among long-term holders.Historically, the RHODL ratio has only been higher than the current level twice: in 2015 (ratio of 5) and in 2022 (ratio of 7), both corresponding to cycle bottoms, which suggests that Bitcoin may still have further downside potential. However, to push the ratio to higher levels, it typically requires the activity of short-term holders to be nearly exhausted, and this condition is not yet evident under current circumstances—Bitcoin has rebounded about 25% from its February low, perpetual contract funding rates remain negative, and the S&P 500 has also reached an all-time high.Overall, this indicator suggests that the current market conditions are closer to an adjustment within the cycle rather than a cycle top formation, and the re-dominance of long-term holders in the market may indicate that a phase bottom is approaching.

Analyst: Bitcoin funding rates have fallen to their lowest level since 2023, which may indicate that a bottom has formed

CoinDesk analyst James Van Straten stated that the Bitcoin funding rate has fallen to its lowest level since 2023, and historical patterns show that such signals often coincide with market bottoms. According to Glassnode data, the seven-day moving average of the funding rate has dropped to about -0.005%.The funding rate is the fee that long and short positions pay each other periodically in perpetual contracts to keep the contract price aligned with the spot market. When the rate is positive, longs pay shorts, reflecting bullish market sentiment; when the rate is negative, shorts pay longs, indicating a bearish market. Despite the funding rate being persistently negative from March to April this year, Bitcoin still oscillated upward from the $60,000 to $65,000 range to about $75,000. Historically, a deeply negative funding rate often coincides with Bitcoin's phase bottoms: during the market crash triggered by the COVID-19 pandemic in March 2020, Bitcoin fell to about $3,000; it dropped to $30,000 during China's mining ban announcement in 2021; it hit a low of about $15,000 during the FTX collapse in November 2022; and it briefly fell below $20,000 during the Silicon Valley Bank crisis in 2023. During the yen arbitrage trade closure in August 2024 and the "Liberation Day" sell-off in April 2025, negative funding rates also appeared alongside phase lows. The continued negative funding rate indicates that even if the price trend is positive, short positions remain at a high level. This divergence may suggest that the market is climbing within a "wall of worry," and a large number of short positions could become fuel for further price increases.

Tom Lee: The net effect of the war on the U.S. economy is positive, and the market has begun to price in favorable outcomes

Tom Lee, chairman of BitMine, a company in the Ethereum treasury, stated in an interview with CNBC, "The reason the stock market remains resilient is that even in the face of war, the economy is actually performing better than expected." He pointed out that defense spending is currently about $30 billion per month and could rise to $60 billion per month in the future, which has a significant stimulating effect on the economy; meanwhile, the rise in oil prices by $20 per month only adds about $12 billion in burden to households, "Overall, the war is actually helping corporate profits right now."Tom Lee cited historical precedents, saying, "Looking back at World War II, the stock market bottomed out in May 1942, just five months after the U.S. entered the war, and at that time, no American troops had even set foot on the European or Pacific battlefields." He believes, "The market is very good at pricing in outcomes ahead of time; the current rise in the stock market means that the market is pricing in a favorable outcome, although I can't clearly articulate the specific reasons, but that's the signal conveyed by the market's performance."Regarding the three major variables in the current market— the Iran war, corporate earnings reports, and interest rates—Tom Lee stated, "Among the three, only war can create tail events in both directions, so this is the variable that deserves the closest attention." In terms of sector allocation, he remains bullish on the energy sector and pointed out that energy security is one of the most important structural themes in recent years.
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