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摩根士丹利:美國“無就業生產力繁榮”將刺激美聯儲進一步降息

2025-12-25 17:28:30
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ChainCatcher 消息,摩根士丹利策略師指出,美國經濟可能出現"無就業生產力繁榮"(jobless productivity boom),將抑制通脹並為美聯儲更多降息打開大門。

美國勞工部數據顯示,第二季度所有非農企業工人的每小時產出同比增長3.3%,較上一季度1.8%的同比下降大幅改善。投資者對美聯儲明年降息節奏的預期比官方預測更為激進。據芝商所美聯儲觀察工具(CME FedWatch tool)顯示,美聯儲官員預計2026年僅降息一次,但投資者認為年底利率下降的概率達72%。

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