reserve

According to Jinshi reports, Goldman Sachs economist David Mericle stated that the path for Kevin Warsh to become the chairman of the Federal Reserve has become clear, but changes in leadership may not immediately alter the Fed's policy stance in the coming months. He pointed out that the new chairman may not be able to advocate for rate cuts as forcefully as Powell, especially given the high uncertainty surrounding the war in the Middle East. Goldman Sachs still believes that easing policies will be introduced before the end of the year, expecting the Fed to cut rates by 25 basis points in September and December, respectively.

According to SoSoValue data, as of 8 AM Eastern Time on April 27, 2026, the total net purchase of Bitcoin by global listed companies (excluding mining companies) for the week was $260 million, a decrease of 89.8% compared to last week.Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) announced an investment of $255 million (a decrease of 90% compared to last week) to purchase 3,273 Bitcoins at a price of $77,906, bringing the total holdings to 818,334 Bitcoins.The Japanese listed company Metaplanet did not purchase any Bitcoin last week.In addition, three other companies purchased Bitcoin last week. The Japanese fashion brand ANAP invested $770,000 on April 21 to increase its holdings by 9.1785 Bitcoins at a price of $84,239.7, bringing the total holdings to 1,431.9716 Bitcoins; the UK Bitcoin company The Smarter Web Company announced an investment of $3.39 million on April 24 to purchase 44 Bitcoins at a price of $77,071, bringing the total holdings to 2,750 Bitcoins; the French Bitcoin company announced an investment of $460,000 on April 27 to purchase 6 Bitcoins at a price of $77,151, bringing the total holdings to 2,943 Bitcoins.Metaplanet has issued zero-interest bonds worth 8 billion yen (approximately $50 million) for the purpose of purchasing Bitcoin.As of the time of writing, the total amount of Bitcoin held by the global listed companies (excluding mining companies) in the statistics is 1,084,909 Bitcoins, an increase of 0.3% compared to last week, with a current market value of approximately $8.434 billion, accounting for 5.4% of the circulating market value of Bitcoin.

According to official news, OranjeBTC has newly purchased 2 BTC at an average price of approximately $77,491 each, costing about $155,000.As of now, the company holds a total of 3,725 BTC, with a total cost of approximately $392.5 million, an average price of about $105,367 each, and a cumulative BTC yield of 2.64% (the yield for Q1 2026 is 0.24%).

According to Jinshi reports, Barclays Bank analysts stated in a report that against the backdrop of high inflation, the Federal Reserve is expected to maintain the federal funds target rate range unchanged at this week's meeting, but there is still a possibility of interest rate cuts this year. Analysts said that if inflation falls as expected, the Federal Reserve is expected to gain enough confidence around September to begin easing policy.

North Carolina Republican Senator Thom Tillis stated on Sunday local time that he would support the confirmation of Kevin Warsh's appointment as Federal Reserve Chairman, thereby clearing the last major obstacle for Trump's chosen successor to Powell.Tillis had refused to vote in support of Warsh for months, stating that he would not push for the confirmation of any Federal Reserve nominee as long as the Justice Department's criminal investigation into Powell was ongoing, calling the criminal investigation an attack on the independence of the central bank. However, that investigation appears to have concluded last Friday.

According to Jinshi reports, CME's "FedWatch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in April is 100%. In addition, the probability of the Federal Reserve cumulatively cutting rates by 25 basis points by June is 4.7%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 95.3%.

According to Jinshi reports, as the situation in the Middle East drives up oil prices, traders in the U.S. Treasury market are closely monitoring this week's Federal Reserve meeting to assess officials' views on the inflation outlook. The market generally expects the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates on Wednesday, but traders tend to believe that there will still be rate cuts before the end of the year. Swap market data shows that the probability of a rate cut before the end of the year has risen to around 40%. Traders will listen carefully to Powell's remarks at the post-meeting press conference to gather insights on his plans after his term ends in May next year. Meanwhile, a series of U.S. Treasury auctions will also take place this week to test market demand at the current yield levels.

According to Jinshi reports, the White House stated that it is confident the Senate will quickly confirm Kevin Warsh as the next Federal Reserve Chairman.

The probability on Polymarket that "Waller will be confirmed as Chairman of the Federal Reserve before May 15" rose from 27% to 85%, a short-term increase of 211%. The reason is that the U.S. Department of Justice is expected to withdraw the criminal investigation against Federal Reserve Chairman Powell. Previously, Senator Banking Committee member Thom Tillis stated that if Trump did not withdraw the criminal investigation against current Federal Reserve Chairman Powell, he would block Waller's nomination for Chairman of the Federal Reserve from entering the Senate's full voting process. Under the current influence of the news that the Department of Justice will withdraw the criminal investigation against Powell, the market expects that Waller has a very high probability of being confirmed by the Senate as Chairman of the Federal Reserve before Powell's term ends.

According to Jinshi reports, U.S. Treasury Secretary Yellen stated that the dominance of the dollar and its status as a reserve currency have further strengthened.

According to ABC News, multiple sources have revealed that the U.S. Department of Justice is expected to terminate the criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chairman Powell as early as Friday.

Morgan Stanley's investment management division, MSIM, announced the launch of a stablecoin reserve portfolio fund (MSNXX), which is a government money market fund designed specifically for stablecoin issuers. It aims to provide a regulated and secure storage place for reserves held by issuers that back their tokenized fiat currency versions.The fund only invests in the safest and most liquid instruments, such as U.S. Treasury bills (short-term loans to the U.S. government) and repurchase agreements (overnight loans secured by similar government securities), both of which aim for capital preservation. The fund's target net asset value is $1, meaning that the invested capital retains the same value upon redemption, avoiding price fluctuations; at the same time, the fund offers daily liquidity, allowing investors to redeem funds on any trading day without a waiting period or penalties.Currently, the market capitalization of stablecoins has reached $316 billion, with tokens pegged to the U.S. dollar, such as Tether and USDC, holding the majority share. Morgan Stanley's launch of the fund coincides with the advancement of the GENIUS Act in Congress. If passed, this act would legally require stablecoin issuers to back their tokens with high-quality liquid assets such as Treasury bills and cash-like instruments, and they must be held through regulated instruments. Thus, the fund is positioned to take on reserve management business ahead of regulatory mandates.Additionally, Morgan Stanley Investment Management recently launched the Morgan Stanley Bitcoin Trust (MSBT), which is a cryptocurrency ETP that tracks Bitcoin, with custodial and fund management services provided by BNY Mellon. It has also collaborated with BNY Mellon to launch tokenized DAP class shares of an institutional liquidity fund Treasury securities portfolio, achieving blockchain-based mirror records while the official ledger remains retained by BNY Mellon.

According to Jinshi News, the CME "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points in April is 1%, while the probability of keeping the rates unchanged is 99%. By June, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 2.6%, the probability of keeping the rates unchanged is 96.4%, and the probability of a cumulative rate increase of 25 basis points is 1%.

Aave has released the latest developments regarding the rsETH security incident on platform X, disclosing that operations related to rsETH reserves have been suspended on the Ethereum mainnet and networks such as Arbitrum, Base, Mantle, and Linea, in order to prevent excess aETH rsETH from being withdrawn, thereby pushing the position closer to the 95% liquidation threshold.This measure aims to preserve as much capital as possible during the asset recovery plan process and reduce systemic risk. Aave stated that further developments and disposal plans will continue to be disclosed to the community.

Investors including Pantera Capital Management are pushing the UK Bitcoin reserve company Satsuma to sell its $50 million Bitcoin reserve.Satsuma shifted to an "AI-driven" Bitcoin reserve strategy in August 2025, successfully raising £164 million (approximately $221 million) through convertible loan notes, led by ParaFi Capital, with participation from Pantera, Digital Currency Group (DCG), Kraken, Arrington Capital, and others. It is reported that Satsuma confirmed that some shareholders "requested a return of capital," but did not disclose the identities of the specific shareholders. Satsuma's Executive Chairman Ranald McGregor-Smith stated in an email that the company is exploring options to facilitate these requests while protecting the interests of all shareholders.

The Web3 asset data platform RootData has outlined the cryptocurrency portfolio of Federal Reserve nominee Kevin Warsh, covering multiple areas including blockchain infrastructure, on-chain financial protocols, institutional financial services, and application tools. Structurally, Warsh's layout can be divided into four major sectors:Underlying Infrastructure: Networks and scaling solutions such as Solana, Optimism, and Lightning Network;On-chain Finance: DeFi and trading protocols like Compound, dYdX, and Polymarket;Institutional and Financial Services: Asset management, banking, and funding channels such as Polychain, Scalar Capital, Kinetic, and OnJuno;Applications and Tools: User entry and development tool projects like Dapper Labs, Crossmint, and Tenderly.Overall, Warsh's strategy of layering financial protocols on top of infrastructure and focusing on controlling institutional funding channels shows a clear difference from typical crypto-native VC approaches, aligning more closely with traditional financial background investors' concerns about market structure and institutional levels.It is reported that on April 21, Warsh held a confirmation hearing before the Senate Banking Committee. According to his recent compliance disclosure documents, if he enters the regulatory system in the future (such as leading the Federal Reserve), he will need to dispose of relevant holdings.

Arthur Hayes stated that Bitcoin will not see a substantial rise until the Federal Reserve provides liquidity to fill the black hole in bank balance sheets. He believes that AI is destroying the income of knowledge workers and leading to consumer credit defaults, which will ultimately force the Federal Reserve to intervene and push up Bitcoin.Arthur Hayes predicts that Bitcoin will reach $150,000 to $200,000 in the summer of 2026, $250,000 to $500,000 by the end of the year, and $1,000,000 by 2028. Michael Saylor posted on the X platform that Strategy has spent approximately $2.54 billion to purchase 34,164 Bitcoins, with an average price of about $74,395. As of April 19, 2026, the institution holds a total of 815,061 Bitcoins, with a total acquisition cost of approximately $61.56 billion and an average price of about $75,527. He believes that the accumulation by corporations and ETFs will lead to non-linear repricing, and if Strategy holds 7.5% of the total Bitcoin supply, the long-term target price will be $10 million.

According to Jinshi reports, a Reuters survey shows that among 103 economists, 71 expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates at least once this year.

According to Jinshi reports, a research report from CICC stated that Federal Reserve Chair nominee Kevin Warsh revealed the core policy proposition of "simultaneous balance sheet reduction and interest rate cuts" during the Senate Banking Committee hearing.He explicitly opposed normalizing quantitative easing and advocated for a gradual reduction of the Federal Reserve's balance sheet size. Although he did not make a clear commitment, his statements have shown a tendency towards interest rate cuts. This shift may indicate that the narrative of persistent dollar liquidity flooding will face correction.