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rseth

Lido discloses the impact of the Kelp security incident: approximately 9% of EarnETH exposure affected, core staking assets are secure

Lido has released the latest developments regarding the Kelp security incident, stating that its Earn series vaults are working with the management to address the issues, which involve two major risk points: the rsETH exposure and the liquidity tension in the lending market. Lido emphasizes that the core staking protocol has not been affected, and both stETH and wstETH remain safe and stable.Currently, only the EarnETH vault has an approximately 9% TVL exposure to rsETH, and related deposits and withdrawals have been suspended by the management, awaiting a solution. Approximately $70 million in ETH has been recovered from the previous attack, and the subsequent asset recovery and loss distribution are still in progress. In response to liquidity pressure, the management has reduced leverage and optimized the position structure, significantly decreasing the wETH debt exposure. If losses ultimately occur, EarnETH will activate a $3 million "first loss protection mechanism" (funded by the DAO). As for other vaults, DVV and EarnUSD have not been affected and are operating normally; the GGV sub-vault is currently experiencing negative returns due to the combination of circular staking strategies and rising lending rates, but adjustments are ongoing. Withdrawal requests submitted by users will be processed based on valuations prior to the incident.

LayerZero reports the KelpDAO theft incident, confirming that it only affects the rsETH configuration

LayerZero Labs released an incident report stating that KelpDAO suffered an attack resulting in a loss of approximately $290 million. Preliminary assessments indicate that the attacker is the Lazarus Group, which has ties to North Korea (more specifically, TraderTraitor). The attack was executed by poisoning the downstream RPC infrastructure relied upon by its decentralized verification network (DVN). The attacker controlled some RPC nodes and, in conjunction with a DDoS attack, induced the system to switch to malicious nodes, thereby forging cross-chain transactions.All affected RPC nodes have been taken offline and replaced, and the DVN has now resumed operation. LayerZero emphasized that this incident was limited to the rsETH application configuration of KelpDAO and did not affect other assets or applications. The reason is that KelpDAO was using a single DVN (1/1) architecture at the time and did not utilize the multi-DVN redundancy mechanism that is officially recommended for long-term use, resulting in a lack of independent verification nodes to identify forged messages.LayerZero pointed out that there were no vulnerabilities in its protocol itself, and applications with multi-DVN configurations were not affected, meaning there is no contagious risk in the system. LayerZero stated that it will urge all projects using single DVN configurations to migrate to multi-DVN architectures as soon as possible and has suspended providing signature and verification services for 1/1 configuration applications. Meanwhile, the company is cooperating with global law enforcement agencies to investigate and assist industry partners in tracking the stolen funds. LayerZero noted that this incident highlights the value of modular security architecture and also reminds the industry to pay attention to the potential security risks of RPC verification links.

Three Possible Responses to the rsETH Hacker Incident: Balancing Bad Debt and Reputation, Testing KelpDAO's Credibility and Aave's Risk Tolerance

DefiLlama founder 0xngmi has outlined three possible courses of action that KelpDAO may take following the rsETH hacking incident. Each of the three paths has significant flaws, and the final decision will test KelpDAO's credibility and Aave's risk tolerance.Path One: All users share the losses. KelpDAO will uniformly deduct 18.5% of the losses from all rsETH holders proportionally. Currently, there are about 666,000 rsETH collateralized across the Aave network, primarily highly leveraged on the mainnet and L2 (assuming all are at a 95% liquidation LTV). Once socialized losses occur, the equity of all positions on the mainnet will be completely wiped out, resulting in approximately $216 million in bad debt. The Umbrella protocol can cover $55 million in bad debt, and the Aave treasury will additionally bear $85 million, leaving a gap of about $76 million. KelpDAO may fill this gap by borrowing or selling Aave tokens (currently valued at about $51 million), but this would still put significant pressure on Aave, and all users would need to share the losses.Path Two: Directly rug the rsETH holders on L2. KelpDAO will only guarantee the mainnet rsETH and consider the rsETH on L2 as worthless. Currently, Aave L2 has about $359 million in rsETH collateral (calculated at current oracle prices), and if all are calculated at maximum leverage, it would result in approximately $341 million in bad debt, which cannot be covered by the Umbrella protocol at all. Aave can only use the treasury or borrowing to save part of the market, most likely abandoning chains like Arbitrum, Mantle, and Base, which have the largest losses, leading to a collapse of these L2 markets. This option has a minor impact on the Aave mainnet but would severely damage the credibility of the L2 ecosystem and could trigger a chain reaction.Path Three: Attempt to refund only the holders based on a snapshot taken before the hack, which is extremely difficult to execute. KelpDAO tries to fully refund only the rsETH holders based on the snapshot taken before the hack, while subsequent buyers or transfer holders would bear the losses themselves. However, since funds have significantly flowed after the attack, and the nature of DeFi protocols is liquidity pools, it is impossible to truly distinguish between different batches of depositors, making technical execution very challenging. The hacker borrowed $124 million on the Aave mainnet and $18 million on Arbitrum, and after deducting the coverage from the Umbrella protocol, there remains about $91 million in losses. Although this plan theoretically minimizes the spread of impact, its practical implementation is nearly impossible and could easily lead to legal and community disputes.

Spark's strategic director: The ETH market faces liquidity risks due to a potential 10% to 15% reduction in rsETH loans

The strategic director of Spark, monetsupply.eth, posted on platform X that as the stablecoin market begins to lack liquidity, the situation is entering a more dangerous phase. I believe that the ETH market is about 16.5% supported by rsETH, and if the loans supported by rsETH experience losses shared between the mainnet and external chains, there may be a 10% to 15% reduction in emode, leaving a remaining 2% to 3% reduction for ETH suppliers to smooth out the umbrella structure.ETH suppliers naturally tend to exit as soon as possible to avoid this risk, so the utilization rate is locked at 100%, and the borrowing rates are insufficient to incentivize the repayment of unrelated LST cycles (wstETH, weETH) to release liquidity. Since users cannot withdraw ETH, those who borrow stablecoins like USDT and use ETH as collateral cannot close their positions even when stablecoin borrowing rates rise, cutting off the typical incentive mechanism to maintain market health.Currently, two unhealthy incentives are causing the market utilization rate to be locked at 100%: 1) ETH holders cannot close their positions to maintain a healthy LTV, and liquidators cannot atomically withdraw or sell collateral, which may lead to bad debts if the ETHUSD price falls. 2) Users supplying USDT, in order to exit their holdings, tend to maximize borrowing of other stablecoins, which is currently generating positive returns (temporarily), thus the exit cost is low; if conditions worsen, they can at least recover 75% of the position value.The bottom line is that these pooled/re-staked lending markets must maintain liquidity at all costs to operate normally. The recent weakening of slope2 against Aave's maximum borrowing rate is having a negative impact and significantly increasing the risk of failure in the yield market.
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