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According to Jinshi reports, economists at UniCredit Bank stated in a report that the European Central Bank is likely to keep interest rates unchanged this week, but is expected to raise rates by 25 basis points in June and September.They pointed out that, assuming the economy does not encounter problems, the likelihood of future rate hikes is greater than that of no hikes. The European Central Bank will release its latest macroeconomic forecasts in June to more accurately assess the risks to price stability.

On April 25 local time, Trump attended a TRUMP luncheon at Mar-a-Lago and delivered a speech lasting about 45 minutes, covering topics such as the cryptocurrency industry, the Iran war, and Biden.White House reporter Sander Lutz stated that aside from expressing hope for the passage of the CLARITY Act and that he would sign it immediately, Trump did not reveal many other specific details. Some industry insiders had hoped he would provide more information about this important bill for the cryptocurrency industry.

According to SoSoValue data, the overall cryptocurrency market is on an upward trend, with the RWA sector performing exceptionally well, rising 4.81% in 24 hours. Among them, Pendle (PENDLE) increased by 7.39%, Centrifuge (CFG) rose by 7.17%, and Ondo Finance (ONDO) and Keeta (KTA) increased by 5.44% and 5.89%, respectively.At the same time, Bitcoin (BTC) rose by 2.36%, breaking through $79,000; Ethereum (ETH) increased by 3.5%, approaching $2,400. Other standout sectors include: the NFT sector, which rose 3.85% in 24 hours, with Pudgy Penguins (PENGU) increasing by 13.1%; the DeFi sector rose by 3.74%, with Lido DAO (LDO) increasing by 23.71%; the AI sector rose by 3.56%, with OriginTrail (TRAC) increasing by 12%.In other sectors, the Meme sector rose by 2.13%, with SPX6900 (SPX) increasing by 9.79%; the PayFi sector rose by 1.97%, with SafePal (SFP) increasing by 9.89%; the Layer2 sector rose by 1.89%, with Celestia (TIA) increasing by 4.03%; the Layer1 sector rose by 1.5%, with Algorand (ALGO) increasing by 4.16%; the CeFi sector rose by 1.23%, with NEXO (NEXO) increasing by 1.88%.The cryptocurrency sector indices reflecting historical market trends show that the ssiRWA, ssiNFT, and ssiDeFi indices rose by 6.37%, 4.24%, and 3.49%, respectively.

Crypto analyst Murphy posted on the X platform, stating that by overlaying three sets of data (Options Gamma Exposure, Options Open Interest by Strike Price, Options ATM Implied Volatility), the impact on BTC from an options perspective shows that $80,000 is currently the first effective resistance above BTC. This position simultaneously has high Call OI, positive Gamma, and low IV conditions.As the price moves upward, the dynamic hedging of market makers can easily create selling pressure; the lower the IV, the higher the marginal sensitivity of market makers to hedge adjustments. Therefore, the thickness of this wall (OI of 7,200 BTC + positive Gamma magnitude) makes $80,000 a "hard nut to crack" in May. Once it breaks through and approaches $82,000, due to the presence of a larger scale of negative Gamma (OI of 4,644 BTC), the market may quickly switch from being suppressed to "amplified volatility" mode.

According to Forbes, Paul Atkins, the chairman of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, recently reiterated the advancement of "Project Crypto" and announced that he will work with the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) to develop a classification framework for digital assets, clarifying when tokens are recognized as securities, while also introducing an "innovation exemption" to support on-chain trading of tokenized securities.The market views this as one of the most proactive shifts in crypto regulation in the history of the SEC, marking its formal abandonment of the old model of "regulation by enforcement" in favor of clear rule-making. This move may signal a stronger entry point for institutional capital that has been on the sidelines for a long time and could drive the price of Bitcoin back above $80,000. Currently, the price of Bitcoin is around $77,586, and the market is paying attention to Paul Atkins' further statements at the Bitcoin 2026 conference in late April.

According to CoinDesk, while quantum computers cannot disrupt the Bitcoin mining mechanism or the blockchain ledger, they may potentially crack the elliptic curve encryption system that protects wallet ownership through Shor's algorithm. Currently, about 6.9 million BTC (approximately one-third of the total supply) face potential risks due to public keys being visible on-chain, including around 1 million early holdings by Satoshi Nakamoto; transactions generated after the Taproot upgrade in 2021 are also affected due to public key exposure.Ethereum has established a formal quantum resistance migration plan since 2018, with 4 full-time teams and over 10 independent development groups, and has launched a dedicated progress website at pq.ethereum.org. In contrast, Bitcoin currently lacks a unified response roadmap, and the existing BIP-360 proposal and BitMEX Research detection scheme have not received widespread support from core developers. Notable Bitcoin advocate Nic Carter pointed out that Bitcoin's response is "the worst," while Blockstream CEO Adam Back believes that current quantum systems are still in the laboratory stage, but he also agrees that optional upgrade solutions should be deployed in advance.Analysts point out that Bitcoin's anti-centralization governance culture makes coordinating large-scale security upgrades extremely difficult, and how to handle historical legacy issues such as Satoshi Nakamoto's holdings is particularly challenging. A related paper from Google warns that once quantum attacks become a reality, the window for response may have already closed.

According to market news, SpaceX is expected to go public in June, potentially surpassing Saudi Aramco's $29 billion fundraising record to become the largest IPO in history. Meanwhile, OpenAI and Anthropic also plan to go public in the second half of this year, with the three companies expected to collectively attract over $240 billion in funding, likely marking a significant turning point for liquidity changes in the cryptocurrency market.Market analysis suggests that these super IPOs may significantly withdraw liquidity from risk assets, while the cryptocurrency market is in the same pool of funds. As mainstream cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum have been highly correlated with Nasdaq and U.S. stock market risk appetite in recent years, a large amount of capital shifting towards subscribing to tech giants' IPOs may weaken the buying support for BTC, ETH, and altcoins.

According to The Information, Anthropic and OpenAI have both experienced security incidents, raising market concerns about the safety of AI models themselves.Currently, Anthropic is investigating potential unauthorized access to its Claude Mythos model by users. Almost simultaneously, OpenAI was also reported to have accidentally exposed several unreleased models in its Codex application. Industry opinions indicate that these vulnerability incidents have intensified scrutiny on the security governance capabilities of AI companies and reflect that the security systems of current AI technology still need improvement as it rapidly develops. Analysts believe that even AI model providers that focus on cybersecurity capabilities face significant security challenges themselves. As AI is gradually used to defend against cyberattacks, issues related to platform security and access control have also become critical risk points.

According to ABC News, multiple sources have revealed that the U.S. Department of Justice is expected to terminate the criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chairman Powell as early as Friday.

According to Jinshi, the final value of the one-year inflation rate expectation in the United States for April is 4.7%, lower than the market expectation of 4.8% and also lower than the previous value of 4.8%.

Recently, during the Hong Kong Web3 Festival, at the "CypherAsia Smart Crypto Finance Forum" hosted by institutions such as Fosun Wealth Holdings, FinChain, and exSat, guests including ME Group President Vito Luo, FinChain CTO Lance Liu, SBVA Executive Director Wang Yinzhen, Solana Foundation Solutions Architect Mike Ma, Copilot Venture Studio Co-founder Yang Linyuan, and NeoSoul Co-founder Kaelan discussed the development trends of AI and crypto finance.During the forum, NeoSoul Co-founder Kaelan stated that the AI industry is still in the early stages of rapid evolution. When evaluating AI projects, it is important to look not only at the current products but also at whether the team can continuously keep up with the changes in the underlying model capabilities.Kaelan pointed out that AI entrepreneurship requires both groundedness and vision. Groundedness means that the team must have the ability to implement engineering, design products, and understand the market to create perceivable products; vision means that the team should build in line with the evolution of large models.He believes that some early AI products may seem like toys, but in emerging industries, the existence of toy-like forms should be allowed. Many truly new paradigms often first appear as experimental products.

Greeks.live macro researcher Adam posted on platform X to announce options expiration data: 1. 109,000 BTC options expired, Put Call Ratio was 0.93, maximum pain point at $72,000, notional value of $8.55 billion. 2. 563,000 ETH options expired, Put Call Ratio was 0.72, maximum pain point at $2,200, notional value of $1.32 billion.This week the market continued to rebound, with Bitcoin strongly breaking through $78,000. The Web3 conference in Hong Kong was also filled with a joyful atmosphere of rising prices, and altcoin markets are warming up. This is a monthly expiration, with 25% of options set to expire. In terms of holding period, the distribution of open contracts in the options market shows 12% at the end of May and 24% at the end of June. From the main options data, Bitcoin's main term implied volatility (IV) has continued to decline this month, with most term IVs dropping by 1% to 2%, falling below 40%, while ETH's main term IV has decreased even more, currently around 60%.Despite the price increase, the Skew has retreated, and the market does not exhibit FOMO sentiment. In the second quarter of this year, Bitcoin performed significantly better than in the first quarter in terms of both price and popularity. This month's continued rebound is a sign of capital inflow; if macro pressures bottom out by mid-year, then Bitcoin's bottom will also be confirmed.

The cryptocurrency payment network MoonPay announced that its Iron platform has officially launched virtual account services in New York State, supporting fintech companies, cryptocurrency platforms, neobanks, and financial institutions to integrate compliant fiat-to-stablecoin infrastructure.This launch is based on MoonPay's acquisition of the enterprise-grade stablecoin infrastructure platform Iron in 2025, allowing users to receive payments through channels such as ACH, wire transfer, and SWIFT, and automatically convert them into stablecoins, settling to non-custodial wallets. MoonPay has also obtained a BitLicense, money transmission license, and limited purpose trust license from the New York State Department of Financial Services in the same year.

Aave has released the latest developments regarding the rsETH security incident on platform X, disclosing that operations related to rsETH reserves have been suspended on the Ethereum mainnet and networks such as Arbitrum, Base, Mantle, and Linea, in order to prevent excess aETH rsETH from being withdrawn, thereby pushing the position closer to the 95% liquidation threshold.This measure aims to preserve as much capital as possible during the asset recovery plan process and reduce systemic risk. Aave stated that further developments and disposal plans will continue to be disclosed to the community.

Lido has released the latest developments regarding the Kelp security incident, stating that its Earn series vaults are working with the management to address the issues, which involve two major risk points: the rsETH exposure and the liquidity tension in the lending market. Lido emphasizes that the core staking protocol has not been affected, and both stETH and wstETH remain safe and stable.Currently, only the EarnETH vault has an approximately 9% TVL exposure to rsETH, and related deposits and withdrawals have been suspended by the management, awaiting a solution. Approximately $70 million in ETH has been recovered from the previous attack, and the subsequent asset recovery and loss distribution are still in progress. In response to liquidity pressure, the management has reduced leverage and optimized the position structure, significantly decreasing the wETH debt exposure. If losses ultimately occur, EarnETH will activate a $3 million "first loss protection mechanism" (funded by the DAO). As for other vaults, DVV and EarnUSD have not been affected and are operating normally; the GGV sub-vault is currently experiencing negative returns due to the combination of circular staking strategies and rising lending rates, but adjustments are ongoing. Withdrawal requests submitted by users will be processed based on valuations prior to the incident.

According to Jinshi Data, the number of initial jobless claims in the U.S. for the week ending April 18 was 214,000, expected to be 210,000, and the previous value was revised from 207,000 to 208,000.The four-week average of initial jobless claims in the U.S. for the week ending April 18 was 210,750, revised from the previous value of 209,750 to 210,000.The number of continuing jobless claims in the U.S. for the week ending April 11 was 1.821 million, expected to be 1.82 million, and the previous value was revised from 1.818 million to 1.809 million.